And as I say Hill is very good defensively. — so I won’t go back over that ground. Arc length represents total 2016-17 Real Plus-Minus wins, so the Golden State Warriors occupy more of the circle than the Brooklyn Nets do. And White is a likely closing lineup, especially for games where we are slightly ahead as it puts a strong defensive lineup on the floor with no weak-link defenders (e.g. It was all fun and games having JJ and Marco until they were brutalized when it mattered. And, wow, what a difference this hypothetical stretch 5 makes! SGA also has a higher projected Ceiling on FantasyLabs and will carry similar ownership and projected usage. Matisse — defense matters! While there can be a lot of noise in plus-minus stats the bottom line is … So please take that as given; if I say that George Hill was better than media darling X last year, I’m just saying better per minute, not necessarily that he added more value. Usually when I claim a player is far better than fans think it’s because he’s a defensive standout and the media tend to undercover and underrate defense. You can toggle between minutes per game, Box Plus-Minus (a box score derived estimate of a player's total impact, per 100 possessions), ... George Hill and Paul George. Speaking of 23-year-old restricted free agents, I was totally right about Tony Bradley! It looks to me as though I was right, and Daryl knew it, and that Golden State was the Danny-desirous third party. In this post, we walk through a vanilla-flavored methodology for building a RAPM model for NBA data. This year he’s a little lower, +1.5, I’d say he’s a +2 player fundamentally, with random variation around that. NBA DFS Breakdown (Tuesday, April 27): Lock Kevin Durant Into Lineups, MLB DFS Breakdown (Tuesday, April 27): White Sox Standout Pitcher Lucas Giolito Should Bounce Back, 2021 Valspar Championship Tournament Course Preview, PGA TOUR DFS: Cash Game Plays for The Valspar Championship, NBA DFS Breakdown (Monday, April 26): 76ers’ Injury Report Will Be Key, NBA DFS Breakdown (Jan. 17): Projected Plus/Minus Leads to Value. WOWYR (With or Without You, Regressed) is a game-level plus-minus measurement and a cousin of play-by-play measurements like Adjusted Plus-Minus (APM). Hill did not grab a rebound but dished out two assists, accumulating a plus-minus of -6 in his 28:17 on the floor. With the trade, the Thunder picked up a pair of draft picks. Of course not everyone keeps improving, let alone to All-Star status. Adams is $1,000 cheaper on FanDuel. He has attempted at least seven 3-pointers in each of his last three games and is a lock at the charity stripe when he does attempt free throws. no Seth Curry). Team: Philadelphia Height: 6-3 Born: 5/4/1986 Position: G Weight: 188 Birthplace: Indianapolis, IndianaIndianapolis, Indiana I’m bummed about losing him, but remember: This last is important, we kept the gun loaded for a potential superstar acquisition in the offseason. Refuse 2 assets means, let’s say, 50% chance of no deal, 50% chance get 3 assets because either Philly or Miami caves at the last second, No deal = get help this season plus potential sign and trade, expected total value of these combined = let’s say 1.3 assets. I’m serious about the boring names thing! His Projected Plus/Minus is well below other top options such as George and SGA. Again, this is somewhat unfair as Donovan plays full-time while Hill in recent years has not. Hill, at his best, is ideal for a LeBron James title team, and for a team with so many issues this season he could be their elixir. New offer from FantasyLabs: Get our NFL models and tools free when you sign up for the NBA monthly plan! Was last year a fluke? Philadelphia may have missed out on the opportunity to bring Kyle Lowry home but all is not lost. He had one crappy year, by his standards, coming off an injury if memory serves, in 2017-18. But it’s not as though you weren’t legitimately that valuable, it just means that value can’t be expected to continue into next season, Hill’s real three-point ability is closer to 40% — he’s averaged over 40% over the past six seasons —than 46%. I never expected to see Jordan Clarkson’s usage consistently over 25% once he joined the Utah Jazz, but his production and usage have been a pleasant surprise. In the previous post in this series we introduced the idea of regressing WOWY data — game-by-game plus-minus data — to gauge player impact. Dwight Howard is the highest-rated center on the slate tonight and is expected to be guarded by Isaiah Roby of the Thunder. And I have thoughts to share. Hill fait ses études au lycée Broad Ripple à Indianapolis. Each line … That’s a star — hell, people thought JJ was a star, and he’s terrible at defense. About me Real Estate Agent (29 years experience)Specialties Buyer's agent Listing agent. Offensively Ben handles the ball when Danny is in and perhaps when George is as well. Bojan Bogdanovic is $4,300 on FanDuel, has a higher ceiling than Morris and has topped 20 points in three of four contests. Hill went 3 of 4 from behind the arc. These two have similar floor/ceilings but Williamson’s Projected Plus/Minus more than doubles Sabonis’. Those two are excellent plays but I want to save salary if I can get similar production. He ranks 26th in the NBA in EPM (+3.3), via Dunks and Threes, and he ranks 61st in the league in LEBRON (1.41), via BBall Index. I have seen literally hundreds of comments calling him a solid veteran, or a consummate professional, or a good leader of the second unit. This year +5.6 would slot a player just behind Anthony Davis and just ahead of Kevin Durant — +5.6 is special! I wrote before the deadline that Danny Green to Toronto as cap filler was insane, that the only way a Lowry deal could plausibly work is if we found a third team that actually wanted Danny Green, appreciated him and would pay value for him. George Hill Overview; More Hill Pages. Think about how much people liked JJ Redick. Contact. First, let’s highlight how good these folks really are. You may also think the eight-year average is ancient history with emphasis on the “ancient” as Hill is now 34. Similar to the Covington comp, George can play PG well and Danny has a tendency to dribble off his foot but nevertheless they have a great deal in common. Hill went 3 of 4 from behind the arc. Ownership will remain relatively flat up top. As a PF he’ll be plenty quick enough to guard his opposite numbers, and he’ll be a better shooter and ballhandler than almost all of them. Home of NBA Advanced Stats - Official NBA Statistics and Advanced Analytics. And by the way it’ll be a team of underrated guys and guys who were underrated until they landed on a glamor team or something. TAKE A LOOK AT HOW GEORGE HILL COMPARES TO PHILADELPHIA’S MAIN OPTIONS 2020-2021 Player Passing Stats *per NBA.com. In his modest minutes this season he did nothing but support that case, his current RAPTOR is over +3. Cette section est vide, insuffisamment détaillée ou incomplète. And this is where I think this is very valuable. Then the Gray team would be something like: which is a pretty good two-way unit, accomplished by stealing 12 minutes of Tobi from the Blue team as well as 6 minutes each of the Borings since I’m assuming they are only good for 30 a night not 36. It is my goal as your full service real estate company specializing in the Pinole, Hercules, Rodeo, Richmond and Oakland areas, to provide you with superior service at all times. But I am enthusiastic about his future; the man is four years away from his prime. Converted to a 1-100 scale where 100 is most similar, and 1 is least similar. So to start, APM is a variation of the standard Plus/Minus stat. Despite the small slate I like the top options at point guard. Danny Green! WOWYR (With or Without You, Regressed) is a game-level plus-minus measurement and a cousin of play-by-play measurements like Adjusted Plus-Minus (APM). That is solid production for cheap. Short slates mean potentially leaning on teammates at the same position. Not too damn many! Suspending any disbelief you might have about the general […] Reply. And now imagine he’s a plus defender too! 2020-21 76ers. Milton is also expected to carry minimal ownership on a short slate and makes for a great contrarian play if the 76ers continue to play Simmons and Milton together. In this post, we walk through a vanilla-flavored methodology for building a RAPM model for NBA data. Plus sérieusement, le président des Sixers estime que Tony Bradley a été l’un des éléments clés de cet échange. He was still positive at both ends for a total of +0.6, just below the level of an average starter. Similarity Score | The difference between the percentile scores of this player and that of all other players in his position group (guards, wings, forwards, bigs). If we got Jaylen or Donovan, who as I say have helped their teams this year about as much per minute as typical GH, would people be saying how great it is that Mitchell can take the ballhandling burden off Shake Freaking Milton! Hill is a top-three play and has a top-three Projected Plus/Minus against the 76ers tonight and is a salary-saving $4,500 on FanDuel. Obviously we don’t know if the Sixers will keep Furk, and if so at what cost, he is a free agent this offseason. With all due respect to Shake, whom I love, that is laughable. I’m going to assume we add a stretch 5 in the buyout market as Daryl really sounded the other day like a man with something up his sleeve. In the previous post in this series we introduced the idea of regressing WOWY data — game-by-game plus-minus data — to gauge player impact. Less athletic bigs, such as his opponents Dwight Howard and Tony Bradley tonight, could be victims to this strategy. But a number of stats are already floating out there about GH’s terrific numbers in the pick and roll, off the catch, and in other important special situations. I just spent a day reading over 2000 comments on LB, plus dozens of articles and hundreds of tweets from so-called professionals, all talking about the trade deadline. But it’s my best article ever, so give it a read! If I’m wrong, just pencil Paul into the slot I have as Stretch time. Defensively we should be fine even with Seth on the floor since Matisse and Joel are exceptional and Tobi and George are quite good at that end. The Clippers-Pacers game has the second-highest projected game total, and the Clippers have the second-highest projected team total. Votre aide est la bienvenue ! But since everyone but me thinks he’s a superstar and he’s likely to be available at some point, let’s say it’s Beal. He tacked on two steals. He’s coming off a thumb injury so you never know if that will have a big impact, but my sense is the doctors and trainers have this stuff figured out in non-Fultz scenarios and that he’ll be fine in a week or two. New York Knicks Receive: Terrance Ferguson, Vincent Poirier, 2021 … If George Hill comes to San Antonio there would be no assembly required New, 219 comments The former Spur would be a great fit in San Antonio if they were to land him in free agency. I am a huge Bball Paul guy but I understand that he has not yet had the opportunity to learn our schemes at the 5, , and given that all NBA coaches kinda hate playing rookies and Doc more than most, I’m going to assume he doesn’t get playoff minutes if I’m right that we’re going to sign somebody — fingers crossed! Although, counting stats aren’t everything, especially when George Hill is leading the entire NBA in offensive rating with an insane 139. The Sixers received a guard who can help in a title pursuit, and the Knicks moved off the salary of Austin Rivers. I don’t know, I hope it’s not Bradley Beal, who consistently puts up adjusted plus/minus right around the George Hill level. 4/20 Veteran point guard George Hill will be available for his first Sixers game tonight against the Warriors, reports Keith Pompey of the Philadelphia Inquirer. In this week's NBA Power Rankings, Terrence Ross is tweeting through the feels, Aaron Gordon is here to defend and the 76ers power up with George Hill. What does the cagey veteran bring to the Jazz table? For example, the #1 Sixer in RAPTOR is Joel Embiid and #2 right now is Matisse Thybulle, with Tobias Harris next and Ben Simmons a bit behind. The NBA Breakdown offers data-driven analysis for each day’s slate using the FantasyLabs Tools and metrics to highlight notable players. For the Thunder, Mike Muscala (plus-1.1 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) and Isaiah Roby (minus-1.5 Offensive Box Plus/Minus) are also day-to-day and George Hill (plus-0.9 Offensive Box Plus/Minus… I’m sure these can be improved and I am eager to hear suggestions, as well as to see what Doc comes up with. Cavs Plus/Minus: Looking at Rodney Hood’s decision-making, George Hill’s defense, and more By Mike O'Connor Mar 10, 2018 1 Welcome back to another Cavs Plus/Minus. He is second behind Dort in overall rating at small forward tonight. Brandon Ingram is a cheaper pivot from Leonard with similar projections. Biggest Surprises in the West (For Good or Ill) | Hickory-High. If you're unfamiliar with Plus/Minus, it is a very simple concept: while a player is on the court, whatever the net score for his team is translates to his Plus/Minus. Here is a complete list of players with 2020-21 RAPTOR of 2.5 as of this writing: GH is not as good a defender as Bridges, or as good a scorer as Mitchell. Of course we don’t know what they were willing to give for him, obviously not a GS first-rounder as that would be too valuable. And then add to that that he is absolutely a plus defender, with significantly positive defensive numbers year after year going back a decade, and not fading at all as he entered his 30s. Write a review for this agent. But if you just average the past three seasons you get +2.3, and if you just take his most recent full season it’s the +3.1, so it’s not crazy to think he’s still around +2.5. Position: Point Guard Shoots: Right 6-4, 188lb (193cm ... Plus/Minus Finder; Head2Head Finder; Quarter Finder; Teammates & Opponents; More George Hill pages at Sports Reference. And then he is rock-solid at all the other offensive stuff too. Our previous regression was done using a standard Ordinary Least Squares method, Borderline HOF guys like Lowry and Kemba. Fast Break. And he’s better than that, because he’s this good every year, whereas many, perhaps most, of the players ranked above him are having above-their-average RAPTOR numbers this year, i.e. As in the past, I’m going to imagine 4 groups that play 12 minutes each, Red, White, Blue and Gray. If you are playing the hits (studs) tonight, JJ Redick is a great value play as his production is starting to align with his minutes increase. Our new look NBA Power Rankings are back, a non-traditional structure for a non-traditional era of professional basketball. Hill went 3 of 4 from behind the arc. I noted in an article here when we traded for Green that last year he’d have been the second-highest Sixer in RAPTOR, he wasn’t quite as high ranked as Hill but close. De’Aaron Fox is the top Bargain and Pro Trends option at point guard tonight. Short slates mean potentially leaning on teammates at … 6 of 19. In other words, if you looked at all of the activity of players moving in and out lineups over the years, whose team changed the most based on a given player’s presence? Obviously doing just 4 12-minute rotations is oversimplified but I want to be able to keep it all in my head. Hill is signed for $10M at our option; say we re-sign Danny for something similar or a little higher. Find local businesses, view maps and get driving directions in Google Maps. Nicknames can solve the problem of course; I think the “Dougie McBuckets” nickname has fattened the coffers of Doug McDermott, and moreover I think the boring-named Paul Reed is going to make an additional $10M in his career as a result of choosing, perhaps all the way back at age 13 when he logged on to Twitter, the handle Bball Paul. George Hill to Philadelphia. You may feel that means he was terrific in his prime, and you’d be right. Anyway there could in theory have been a deal, if Toronto had been willing to trade Lowry for two assets, two late-firsts or equivalent, then we could have given one asset (Maxey or a first, never Matisse who is insanely good!) He is also younger than Matisse Thybulle. But Furk can really shoot,, and he seems — again, to my sighted friends — to be big and getting bigger, which is normal for someone his age. Sunday’s late slate features four games scheduled to start at 7 p.m. Allen, in the 12 games he played for Cleveland, possesses a team-leading 4.2 BPM score. He’s probably not that good, but he is good. Real Plus-Minus (RPM) was recently updated by the ESPN Sports Analytics … Last season Hill ranked 30th in the entire NBA on 538’s RAPTOR, my favorite all-in-one metric. In other words, if you looked at all of the activity of players moving in and out lineups over the years, whose team changed the most based on a given player’s presence? ET. 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